Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (Tiger Brokers) (TIGR) — closed signal from October 7, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 5, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$10.60 Published $13.79 Target $11.12 Window close $11.28 Peak
$9.80 – $10.20Entry zone — fair-value band
$10.60Published — price the day we called it
$13.79Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$11.28Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$11.12Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 21% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$11.28
peak on January 5, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+6.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$11.12
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
October 7, 2025 – January 5, 2026

The thesis — published October 7, 2025

Predicted growth
+30%
over the measurement window
Target price
$13.79
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$9.80 – $10.20
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$10.60
published October 7, 2025
Confidence
86%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

UP Fintech blends solid business quality with room to grow as individual investors become more active again. The shares look reasonably priced at about 14x expected earnings. Recent price action has stabilized, which fits a buy-in-steps approach. A Zacks #2 rating and good peer comparisons help. In a gently rising market, more trading activity could lift results over the next 3 months; a move above 10.8 would show momentum returning.

Primary drivers

  • Solid business performance plus a price that still looks reasonable
  • Optimistic mood improving across many stocks, broadening buyer interest
  • Zacks #2 (Buy) rating and peers' results make comparisons look favorable
  • More retail trading could help in a market that is leaning slightly bullish

How it played out

TIGR: target was not reached by window end

Lyra published TIGR at $10.60 on October 7, 2025, with expected growth of 30%. The thesis pointed to solid business performance, a price that looked reasonable at about 14x expected earnings, improving mood across many stocks, a Zacks #2 rating, peer comparisons, and the chance that more retail trading could help in a slightly bullish market.

Inside the window, TIGR rose but did not reach the $13.79 target. The peak was $11.28 on January 5, 2026, a 6.4% gain. It ended at $11.12. The thesis partially played out because the price moved up, but it never got to the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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