Track record · closed signal

Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) — closed signal from October 7, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 5, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AMKR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$32.08 Published $41.62 Target $48.13 Window close $48.41 Peak
$30.37 – $31.87Entry zone — fair-value band
$32.08Published — price the day we called it
$41.62Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$48.41Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$48.13Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 57 days.

Peak price
$48.41
peak on January 5, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+50.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$48.13
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
57
Window
October 7, 2025 – January 5, 2026

The thesis — published October 7, 2025

Predicted growth
+30%
over the measurement window
Target price
$41.62
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$30.37 – $31.87
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$32.08
published October 7, 2025
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Amkor makes and tests chip packages that AI and high-performance computers need. It is building a $7B site in Arizona and has updated its debt to fund more investment. Price and trading interest look strong, meaning lots more people are buying than usual. In a chip-driven market, limited supply and the company's importance could lift the stock in about 3 months, with price dips inviting entries while waiting for customer news.

Primary drivers

  • $7B Arizona site to build advanced chip packages at high volume capacity
  • Price and trading interest are strong; more buyers than usual lately
  • AI chip packaging is in short supply, making Amkor more valuable to clients
  • Refinanced debt frees up cash flow to keep investing in new equipment

How it played out

AMKR: target reached in 57 days

Lyra published AMKR on 2025-10-07 at $32.08. The thesis expected 30% growth in a short-term window, with a $41.62 target. It pointed to Amkor's $7B Arizona site, stronger price and trading interest, short supply in artificial intelligence chip packaging, and refinanced debt that could support more equipment investment.

Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 57 days. It later peaked at $48.41 on 2026-01-05, with a 50.9% peak gain. It ended the window at $48.13. The thesis played out and more than reached the published target.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-07, Amkor broke ground on its advanced packaging and test campus in Peoria, Arizona. The reported plan included production in 2028 and investment that could extend to $7B.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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