Columbia Banking System, Inc. (COLB) — closed signal from October 5, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 3, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.
The thesis — published October 5, 2025
Investor mood looks strong and more shares are trading than usual, suggesting growing interest. The Pacific Premier deal could make the bank larger and more efficient, even though some trend signals are not strong yet. A practical plan is to start if the price turns up and sets a higher low. Keep an eye on loan health and interest rates, and use a preplanned exit just below a recent low. Add only as strength proves itself.
Primary drivers
- Positive mood and heavier trading hint at rising buyer demand
- Buying Pacific Premier may boost size and lower costs over time
- Price action looks steady, which can set up a future climb
- Loan health and interest rates will drive results from here
How it played out
COLB: peak reached 29.61 inside the window
On 2025-10-05, Lyra published a short-term COLB thesis at 26.07 with expected growth of 15%. The thesis pointed to positive mood, heavier trading, the Pacific Premier deal, steadier price action, loan health, and interest rates. The stated target was 29.58.
Inside the window from 2025-10-05 to 2026-01-03, COLB rose to a peak of 29.61 on 2025-12-15, with a peak gain of 13.6%. The ledger did not record a target reach, but the peak was above 29.58. It ended at 28.19. The thesis mostly played out, then gave back part of the move.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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