Track record · closed signal

Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) — closed signal from October 5, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 3, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TNK price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$51.24 Published $61.23 Target $51.50 Window close $63.71 Peak
$50.09 – $51.57Entry zone — fair-value band
$51.24Published — price the day we called it
$61.23Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$63.71Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$51.50Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 32 days.

Peak price
$63.71
peak on November 20, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+24.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$51.50
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
32
Window
October 5, 2025 – January 3, 2026

The thesis — published October 5, 2025

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$61.23
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$50.09 – $51.57
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$51.24
published October 5, 2025
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

The stock looks beaten down and may be due for a short-term rebound. Overall mood is favorable, and a fair value near $53.33 gives a nearby target if it lifts. Big risks remain: profits may slip and new shipping rules can shake prices. Over the next few months, a return toward recent average prices is possible if shipping rates steady and the trend turns up. Keep positions small and risk tight.

Primary drivers

  • Price looks unusually beaten down while investor mood is unusually positive.
  • Independent estimates suggest the stock's current worth is about $53.33.
  • Company profits are expected to fall, which can weigh on the stock price.
  • Shipping fees and new rules can change fast, making the stock move sharply.

How it played out

TNK: target reached in 32 days

Lyra published TNK at $51.24 on 2025-10-05 with expected growth of 20%. The thesis pointed to a beaten-down price, unusually positive investor mood, an estimated worth near $53.33, and the chance of a short-term rebound if shipping rates steadied and the trend turned up. It also noted risks from falling profits and changing shipping rules.

Inside the window, TNK reached the $61.23 target in 32 days. The stock peaked at $63.71 on 2025-11-20, a 24.3% gain. It ended the window at $51.50. The thesis played out, because the target was reached before the window closed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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