Zions Bancorporation, N.A. (ZION) — closed signal from October 5, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 3, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 45% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published October 5, 2025
Zions may rebound in the near term after a sharp drop, supported by solid business results and a rising dividend. Investor mood is strong, and the bank just raised its payout and beat revenue expectations. Use small downside limits and add only if the price starts rising again after dips. In the next 0-3 months, a move toward its recent average price is possible if rates settle; loan trends and market swings remain the main risks. Take profits on strength.
Primary drivers
- Dividend increased and sales beat forecasts, showing business strength
- Investor mood is strong even after the recent drop in the share price
- Recent drop looks overdone, making a short-term bounce more likely
- Future depends on interest rates and how well borrowers repay loans
How it played out
ZION: rebound came, target was not reached
Lyra published ZION at 56.44 on 2025-10-05 with a short-term thesis for 17% growth toward 65.47. The thesis pointed to a higher dividend, sales above forecasts, strong investor mood after a recent drop, and a possible rebound if rates settled. It also named loan trends and market swings as risks.
Inside the window from 2025-10-05 to 2026-01-03, ZION rose but did not reach 65.47. The peak was 60.77 on 2025-12-22, a 7.7% gain. It ended at 59.25. The rebound part played out, but the target did not. Partial hit.
What happened during the window
On 2025-10-20, Zions reported third-quarter profit of $221 million, or $1.48 per share. Net interest income was $672 million. On 2025-10-16, Zions disclosed a $50 million loss on two commercial loans and said it would take a $60 million provision for credit losses in third-quarter results.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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