Boston Scientific Corporation (BSX) — closed signal from July 9, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 7, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 43% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published July 9, 2025
Recent selling pushed a key momentum gauge to an unusually low level, yet the firm is still growing sales at double digits. Two important FDA rulings on new heart treatments are due this quarter, and heavier-than-normal bullish option trades on July 7 show that big investors are positioning for good news. If the selling pressure fades, the price could snap back toward 118 dollars.
Primary drivers
- A very low momentum reading hints that most sellers are already out.
- Upcoming FDA rulings could open its devices to more patients.
- Unusually heavy option buying shows large investors expect upside.
- Sales are still rising more than 10 percent versus last year.
How it played out
BSX: target was not reached
Lyra published BSX at $102.41 on July 9, 2025, with 16% expected growth and a target of $118.80. The thesis pointed to a very low momentum reading, possible FDA rulings for heart treatments, unusually heavy option buying on July 7, and sales rising more than 10% versus last year.
Inside the window, BSX rose, but only part of the thesis played out. The stock peaked at $109.50 on September 9, a 6.9% gain. It never reached $118.80. By October 7, it ended at $95.90. The call had some early upside, but the target missed.
What happened during the window
On July 23, 2025, Boston Scientific reported second-quarter results. Investors Business Daily said sales rose 23% year over year to $5.06 billion, adjusted earnings were $0.75 per share, and the company raised its 2025 outlook.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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