Track record · closed signal

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) — closed signal from September 30, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 29, 2025 — +14.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

CSCO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$67.40 Published $74.64 Target $77.38 Window close $80.39 Peak
$65.30 – $67.94Entry zone — fair-value band
$67.40Published — price the day we called it
$74.64Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$80.39Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$77.38Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 44 days.

At window close
+14.8%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+19.3%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+3.6%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$77.38
last close inside the window, ended December 29, 2025
Peak price
$80.39
peak on December 10, 2025 — not a realized return
Days to target
44

The thesis — published September 30, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$74.64
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$65.30 – $67.94
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$67.40
published September 30, 2025
Confidence
61%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Cisco looks like a steady, upward story. Recently, lots more people are buying than usual, a sign of rising interest. On 9-30 the company opened an AI-focused Austin office. Research points to a fast-growing potential customer base for contact center software through 2035. We prefer buying on dips as the backlog turns into shipments and the software mix grows.

Primary drivers

  • Buying interest is rising and the price trend looks healthier over time
  • Contact center software has a growing potential customer base through 2035
  • New AI-focused Austin office opened on 9-30 to show real products
  • More subscription sales can smooth revenue and make earnings steadier

How it played out

CSCO: target reached in 44 days

Lyra published CSCO at $67.40 on 2025-09-30 with a short-term thesis for 12% growth. The thesis pointed to rising buying interest, a healthier price trend, a growing contact center software customer base through 2035, an artificial intelligence-focused Austin office opened on 9-30, and more subscription sales that could smooth revenue.

Inside the 2025-09-30 to 2025-12-29 window, CSCO reached the $74.64 target in 44 days. It later peaked at $80.39 on 2025-12-10, a 19.3% gain. It ended the window at $77.38. The thesis played out, and the target was exceeded.

What happened during the window

On 2025-11-12, Cisco reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $14.88 billion and adjusted earnings of $1 per share. It also raised its fiscal-year revenue outlook to $60.2 billion to $61 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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