IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from September 30, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 29, 2025 — +25.9% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 72 days.
The thesis — published September 30, 2025
IAMGOLD has been one of the stronger gold miners lately, and the business is getting healthier. Shares have run up a lot, so waiting for small pullbacks is safer than buying after big jumps. In late September the stock was up 72 percent in three months, helped by a 24 percent return on equity and steady buying. If gold stays firm and profits improve, the rise can likely continue over the next few months.
Primary drivers
- Stronger gold prices plus better profits can lift the share price
- More buyers than usual and a rising recent average price show strong trend
- Positive mood and heavier trading interest keep demand elevated
- When gold rises, profits can climb faster due to cost structure
How it played out
IAG: target reached in 72 days
Lyra published IAG at $13.09 on 2025-09-30, with a short-term thesis for 24 percent growth toward $16.23. The thesis pointed to stronger gold prices, better profits, a 24 percent return on equity, heavier buying interest, and a strong recent trend after the stock was up 72 percent in three months.
Inside the window from 2025-09-30 to 2025-12-29, the stock reached the target in 72 days. It peaked at $17.91 on 2025-12-22, a 36.9 percent gain. It ended at $16.48, still above the target. The thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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