Alphabet Inc. (Class C) (GOOG) — closed signal from September 28, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 27, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 32 days.
The thesis — published September 28, 2025
Alphabet looks temporarily beaten down, and the recent average price is nudging up, hinting the slide may be calming. Some research says shares seem a bit pricey, and a major bank kept a Neutral view after Gemini was added to Chrome. Still, demand for AI and cloud services is growing, supporting the long-term story. Consider scaling in on dips for a 3 month rebound.
Primary drivers
- Price dropped hard but the recent average price is edging higher now
- Growing demand for AI and cloud services supports steady long-term growth
- Neutral analyst views lower near-term excitement and keep expectations modest
- Many investors are upbeat even though some argue the stock looks expensive
How it played out
GOOG: target reached in 32 days
Lyra published GOOG on 2025-09-28 at 247.02 for a short-term window ending 2025-12-27. The thesis expected 18% growth. It pointed to a hard price drop, a recent average price edging higher, demand for artificial intelligence and cloud services, neutral analyst views, and investors who were upbeat even as some argued the stock looked expensive.
Inside the window, GOOG reached the 291.29 target in 32 days. The peak was 328.46 on 2025-11-25, with a peak gain of 33%. It ended at 314.96. The thesis played out, and the move went past the published target.
What happened during the window
On 2025-10-29, Alphabet reported quarterly revenue of $102.35 billion and said Google Cloud revenue was $15.16 billion. On 2025-12-22, MarketWatch reported that Alphabet announced an acquisition of Intersect Power for $4.75 billion in cash plus debt assumption.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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