Track record · closed signal

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) — closed signal from September 27, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 26, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

NEE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$75.34 Published $83.81 Target $80.41 Window close $86.94 Peak
$73.01 – $74.49Entry zone — fair-value band
$75.34Published — price the day we called it
$83.81Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$86.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$80.41Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 16 days.

Peak price
$86.94
peak on October 28, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$80.41
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
16
Window
September 27, 2025 – December 26, 2025

The thesis — published September 27, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$83.81
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$73.01 – $74.49
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$75.34
published September 27, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NextEra is a fast-moving utility and a leader in clean energy. Recent price action shows buyers in charge and the recent average price is rising, but the stock looks a bit hot after a strong run. A clean energy index is up 32 percent this year, pointing to lots more buying than usual. Plan: wait for a normal dip that still shows rising demand, then add if the overall market stays healthy. Keep positions modest.

Primary drivers

  • Buying pressure is strong and the recent average price keeps climbing
  • Clean energy group is strong this year, drawing in more investor interest
  • After a fast rise, a brief pause or dip is healthier before the next move
  • A long-time leader in building and running large renewable energy projects

How it played out

NEE: target reached in 16 days

Lyra published NEE at $75.34 on September 27, 2025, with expected growth of 12% and a target of $83.81. The thesis pointed to strong buying pressure, a rising recent average price, strength in the clean energy group, and NextEra's role in large renewable energy projects. It also expected a normal dip or pause after a fast rise.

Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 16 days. It later peaked at $86.94 on October 28, 2025, with a peak gain of 15.4%. It ended the window at $80.41. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On December 8, 2025, NextEra announced agreements with Google and Meta tied to power for data centers. It also raised its 2025 adjusted earnings outlook to $3.62 to $3.70 and its 2026 outlook to $3.92 to $4.02.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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