Track record · closed signal

PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) — closed signal from September 27, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 26, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

PEP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$139.08 Published $151.51 Target $143.78 Window close $153.69 Peak
$135.83 – $137.79Entry zone — fair-value band
$139.08Published — price the day we called it
$151.51Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$153.69Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$143.78Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 24 days.

Peak price
$153.69
peak on October 21, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+10.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$143.78
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
24
Window
September 27, 2025 – December 26, 2025

The thesis — published September 27, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$151.51
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$135.83 – $137.79
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$139.08
published September 27, 2025
Confidence
63%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

PepsiCo looks beaten down after a sharp slide, and money is returning to everyday goods makers. This week, news hints profits may beat expectations on Oct 9, which could lift the stock soon. Despite soft recent price action, it is a trusted blue chip. Plan: buy near this range and aim for a 1-3 month bounce toward typical price levels if guidance holds and rates stay calm.

Primary drivers

  • Shares look oversold, suggesting the drop may be overdone for now.
  • This week's update hints earnings could beat expectations on Oct 9.
  • Steady cash generation makes it appealing when markets feel uncertain.
  • Staple stocks may rebound if interest rates stop rising or settle down.

How it played out

PEP: target reached in 24 days

Lyra published PEP at $139.08 on 2025-09-27 with a 10% expected gain and a target of $151.51. The thesis pointed to oversold shares, a possible Oct 9 earnings beat, steady cash generation, and a possible rebound in staple stocks if rates settled down.

Inside the window, PEP reached a peak of $153.69 on 2025-10-21. That was a 10.5% peak gain, and the target was reached in 24 days. The stock ended the window at $143.78. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On Oct 9, 2025, PepsiCo reported Q3 2025 revenue of $23.94 billion and core EPS of $2.29, and said Jamie Caulfield would retire as CFO in November. On Dec 9, 2025, PepsiCo said it would cut 20% of its U.S. soda and snack lineup and lower some prices after engagement with Elliott Management.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All PEP signals