Track record · closed signal

Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd. (OR) — closed signal from September 27, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 26, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

OR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$38.31 Published $45.83 Target $37.52 Window close $42.19 Peak
$37.58 – $38.37Entry zone — fair-value band
$38.31Published — price the day we called it
$45.83Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$42.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$37.52Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 51% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$42.19
peak on October 8, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+10.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$37.52
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
September 27, 2025 – December 26, 2025

The thesis — published September 27, 2025

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$45.83
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$37.58 – $38.37
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$38.31
published September 27, 2025
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Osisko lets you benefit from gold without running mines. Recent trading suggests strong buying interest, and the stock's recent average price is climbing, while price action looks steady rather than overheated. Gold is up about 39% this year, a big boost for the group. With many investors feeling positive and the model having lower day-to-day risk than miners, small dips could set up a short 1-3 month trend, while remembering gold can swing.

Primary drivers

  • Gold is up this year, lifting investor mood for gold-related stocks
  • Buying interest looks strong and the recent average price is rising
  • Earns from others' mines, often with lower day-to-day operating risk
  • Frequent gold news keeps interest high and draws in more buyers

How it played out

OR: target was not reached in the window

Lyra published OR at 38.31 on 2025-09-27 with a short-term thesis for 20% growth. The thesis pointed to gold-related investor mood, strong buying interest, a rising recent average price, royalty exposure to others' mines, and steady price action rather than overheated trading.

Inside the window, OR rose to 42.19 on 2025-10-08, a 10.1% peak gain. That stayed below the 45.83 target. It never got there. By 2025-12-26, the stock ended at 37.52, below the publication price. The thesis partially played out early, then missed the full target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All OR signals