Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) — closed signal from September 26, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 25, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 18% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published September 26, 2025
Uber's trend looks up. The recent average price is rising and more buyers than usual suggest the move could continue, with room to run. Fresh news helps: 2,000 Serve robots, plans to test self-driving rides in Germany, and ALDI accepting SNAP-EBT in the app, which widens the customer base. Big investors appear active, so a move higher over the next 0-3 months is reasonable if execution stays strong. Watch for headlines.
Primary drivers
- Self-driving tests and 2,000 delivery robots boost automation push
- ALDI taking SNAP-EBT in the app opens a larger customer base
- Uptrend with rising recent average price; more buyers than usual
- Positive mood and higher-than-usual trading activity
How it played out
UBER: target was never reached
Lyra published UBER on 2025-09-26 at $97.91 with a short-term view and expected growth of 20%. The thesis pointed to an uptrend, a rising recent average price, more buyers than usual, self-driving tests, 2,000 delivery robots, ALDI taking SNAP-EBT in the app, and higher-than-usual trading activity.
Inside the window, UBER peaked at $101.30 on 2025-10-06, a 3.5% gain. It stayed below the $117.49 target and never reached it. By 2025-12-25, it ended at $81.15. The thesis only partly played out early, then missed the target.
What happened during the window
On 2025-11-04, Uber reported third-quarter results, including revenue of $13.47 billion and gross bookings of $49.7 billion. On 2025-11-26, Uber and WeRide launched fully driverless robotaxi operations in Abu Dhabi.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Share this receipt
A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.