Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from September 25, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 24, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$66.16 Published $72.27 Target $70.11 Window close $72.91 Peak
$65.08 – $66.07Entry zone — fair-value band
$66.16Published — price the day we called it
$72.27Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$72.91Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$70.11Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 67 days.

Peak price
$72.91
peak on December 1, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+10.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$70.11
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
67
Window
September 25, 2025 – December 24, 2025

The thesis — published September 25, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$72.27
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$65.08 – $66.07
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$66.16
published September 25, 2025
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

KO looks like a steady short-term idea. The price is mid-range, but investor mood is very strong, and news about flavor-adjusting ingredients plus its decades-long record of rising dividends make it attractive for income. Growth is slower, so expect more sideways moves than big runs. Over the next 0-3 months, stabilization and a mild bounce are likely; buy in small steps and keep risk tight.

Primary drivers

  • Positive investor mood; dependable dividends draw income-focused buyers
  • Flavor-adjusting ingredients could expand products and sales over time
  • Price often stays within a tight range instead of making big jumps
  • Company growth is slower now, so sharp price moves are less likely

How it played out

KO: target reached in 67 days

On 2025-09-25, Lyra published KO at 66.16 as a short-term idea with 10% expected growth. The thesis pointed to strong investor mood, dependable dividends for income-focused buyers, flavor-adjusting ingredients that could broaden products and sales over time, and a stock that often stayed in a tight range. It also said slower company growth made sharp moves less likely.

Inside the window from 2025-09-25 to 2025-12-24, KO reached the 72.27 target in 67 days. The peak was 72.91 on 2025-12-01, with a 10.2% peak gain. It ended at 70.11. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On Nov. 3, 2025, Coca-Cola Holiday Creamy Vanilla went on shelves in the U.S. and Canada, its first limited-edition seasonal flavor in five years. On Nov. 5, 2025, People reported Coca-Cola had released two 2025 holiday campaign ads made with artificial intelligence tools.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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