Track record · closed signal

Hecla Mining Company (HL) — closed signal from September 22, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 21, 2025 — +76.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

HL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$10.59 – $10.99Entry zone — fair-value band

$11.12Published — price the day we called it

$14.45Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$20.57Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$19.67Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 23 days.

At window close

+76.9%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+85%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.4%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$19.67

last close inside the window, ended December 21, 2025

Peak price

$20.57

peak on December 19, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published September 22, 2025

Predicted growth

+30%

over the measurement window

Target price

$14.45

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$10.59 – $10.99

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$11.12

published September 22, 2025

Confidence

65%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Precious metals are strengthening, and gold set record highs on 9/22, which usually helps mining stocks like Hecla. Recent price behavior suggests the slide may be ending and buyers are stepping back in. A 9/12 price-target increase and more industry attention add interest. We prefer buying dips near $10.60-$11.00, with extra confidence if shares rise above 11.60, aiming for a 0-3 month rebound while managing the stock's bigger swings.

Primary drivers

Gold at record highs tends to raise profits and interest in miners
Recent price momentum suggests the downtrend may be ending
Investor mood is improving, with lots more people buying than usual
The stock can swing fast, so positions should be sized and managed tightly

How it played out

HL: target reached in 23 days

Lyra published HL at $11.12 on 2025-09-22 with a short-term thesis for 30% growth toward $14.45. The thesis pointed to stronger precious metals, record gold prices on 9/22, recent price behavior that suggested the slide may have been ending, a 9/12 price-target increase, and heavier buyer interest. It also noted the stock's larger swings.

Inside the window, HL reached the target in 23 days. It later peaked at $20.57 on 2025-12-19, with an 85% peak gain. The window ended at $19.67. The published thesis played out, and the move went well past the target before the window closed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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