Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. (BBAR) — closed signal from September 22, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 21, 2025 — +92.1% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 35 days.
The thesis — published September 22, 2025
Argentina's stock market fell about 12% after political news on 9/13, and BBAR dropped over 20% around 9/8 after analyst downgrades on 9/14. That heavy selling may have gone too far, so if headlines calm, a quick rebound could follow. Consider the $9.25-$9.75 area, but only if the price shows strength and can get above 10.20. This is high risk: sharp swings and currency/policy issues can still hurt in the near term.
Primary drivers
- Dropped sharply in a short span, which can set up a quick rebound
- If mood improves, buyers can return quickly and lift the price
- If Argentina's news and policies calm down, the stock could recover
- Currency swings and policy changes in Argentina can still cause big moves
How it played out
BBAR: target reached in 35 days
Lyra published BBAR at $9.51 on 2025-09-22 with expected growth of 35%. The thesis pointed to heavy selling after political news, a drop of over 20% around 9/8, analyst downgrades on 9/14, and the chance of a quick rebound if headlines calmed. It also flagged sharp swings, currency pressure, and policy risk.
Inside the window, the stock reached the $12.74 target in 35 days. It kept rising and peaked at $18.93 on 2025-12-19, with a peak gain of 99.1%. It ended the window at $18.27. The thesis played out, and the target was exceeded.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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