Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) — closed signal from September 22, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 21, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 32% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published September 22, 2025
TXN looks set for a short-term bounce toward its recent average price in a well-established chip business. The stock seems tired after a slide, and on 9/18 the dividend rose to $1.42, the 22nd straight yearly raise, which helps steady investor income. Momentum remains soft, so patience helps. Over the next 0-3 months, a move back toward normal levels is plausible as customers work through extra inventory.
Primary drivers
- The drop looks overdone, which often leads to a short-term rebound
- Dividend raised again, 22 years straight, helping support the share price
- Investors stay positive even though price momentum remains soft
- Long-term chip demand from EVs and power systems continues to grow
How it played out
TXN: the target was not reached
Lyra published TXN at $178.77 on 2025-09-22 with a short-term view for 12% growth toward $198.46. The thesis pointed to an overdone drop, a dividend raise to $1.42 on 9/18, the 22nd straight yearly raise, steady investor income, soft momentum, and customers working through extra inventory.
Inside the window from 2025-09-22 to 2025-12-21, TXN rose to $185.63 on 2025-09-26. That was a 3.8% peak gain, but it stayed below $198.46. It ended at $176.29. The thesis partially played out on the bounce, but missed the target.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Share this receipt
A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.