Sprinklr, Inc. (CXM) — closed signal from September 22, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 21, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 20% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published September 22, 2025
Sprinklr fell hard, but the drop looks overdone and early signs suggest buyers are returning. Q2 sales grew 7.5% and beat expectations by 3.2% (9/15). Plan: consider buying around $7.30-$7.80, then adding only if it clears $8.30 and interest improves. Over the next 0-3 months, reopened budgets, better profits, and a calmer mood could help the price rebound.
Primary drivers
- Price looks washed out, and buying interest is starting to pick up
- Quarter showed 7.5% sales growth and a 3.2% beat, profits improving
- Investor mood stays fairly positive even after the recent drop
- Many companies unlock software budgets soon, helping near-term sales
How it played out
CXM: rebound started, but the target was missed
On September 22, Lyra published a short-term rebound thesis on CXM at $7.81. It expected 25% growth. The thesis pointed to a washed-out price, buying interest starting to pick up, Q2 sales growth of 7.5%, a 3.2% beat, improving profits, fairly positive investor mood, and possible software budget reopening over the next 0-3 months.
Inside the window, CXM rose, but not enough. It peaked at $8.21 on December 10, with a 5.1% gain. It never reached the $9.76 target. The stock ended the window at $7.84. The thesis partially played out on direction, but it missed on magnitude.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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