Track record · closed signal

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) — closed signal from September 22, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 21, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

TSEM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$69.27 Published $84.50 Target $119.16 Window close $129.58 Peak
$67.00 – $69.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$69.27Published — price the day we called it
$84.50Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$129.58Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$119.16Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 37 days.

Peak price
$129.58
peak on December 11, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+87.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$119.16
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
37
Window
September 22, 2025 – December 21, 2025

The thesis — published September 22, 2025

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$84.50
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$67.00 – $69.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$69.27
published September 22, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Shares look to be healing after earlier weakness. On 9/08, the stock rose 7.5% after the company showed a new laser built into a chip for AI data centers, tying it to strong computing demand. The recent average price is drifting higher and investor mood is upbeat, even if one momentum sign is a bit soft. Best approach: buy on dips, then add only if the price proves strength, aiming for a 0-3 month move as more buyers engage.

Primary drivers

  • New on-chip laser for AI data centers boosts interest in the stock
  • Recent average price is rising, hinting the trend is getting healthier
  • Investor mood is strong even if one momentum signal looks a bit weak
  • Makes varied chip types, lowering reliance on any single market

How it played out

TSEM: target reached in 37 days

Lyra published TSEM at 69.27 on 2025-09-22 with a short-term thesis for 22% growth. The thesis pointed to healing after earlier weakness, a 7.5% rise on 9/08 after an on-chip laser for artificial intelligence data centers, a rising recent average price, strong investor mood, and a varied chip business. The stated target was 84.5.

Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 37 days. It later peaked at 129.58 on 2025-12-11, with a peak gain of 87.1%. It ended the window at 119.16. The thesis played out, and the move went well beyond the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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