Track record · closed signal

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) — closed signal from September 22, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 21, 2025 — +72% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

TSEM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$67.00 – $69.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$69.27Published — price the day we called it

$84.50Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$129.58Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$119.16Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 37 days.

At window close

+72%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+87.1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.4%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$119.16

last close inside the window, ended December 21, 2025

Peak price

$129.58

peak on December 11, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published September 22, 2025

Predicted growth

+22%

over the measurement window

Target price

$84.50

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$67.00 – $69.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$69.27

published September 22, 2025

Confidence

64%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Shares look to be healing after earlier weakness. On 9/08, the stock rose 7.5% after the company showed a new laser built into a chip for AI data centers, tying it to strong computing demand. The recent average price is drifting higher and investor mood is upbeat, even if one momentum sign is a bit soft. Best approach: buy on dips, then add only if the price proves strength, aiming for a 0-3 month move as more buyers engage.

Primary drivers

New on-chip laser for AI data centers boosts interest in the stock
Recent average price is rising, hinting the trend is getting healthier
Investor mood is strong even if one momentum signal looks a bit weak
Makes varied chip types, lowering reliance on any single market

How it played out

TSEM: target reached in 37 days

Lyra published TSEM at 69.27 on 2025-09-22 with a short-term thesis for 22% growth. The thesis pointed to healing after earlier weakness, a 7.5% rise on 9/08 after an on-chip laser for artificial intelligence data centers, a rising recent average price, strong investor mood, and a varied chip business. The stated target was 84.5.

Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 37 days. It later peaked at 129.58 on 2025-12-11, with a peak gain of 87.1%. It ended the window at 119.16. The thesis played out, and the move went well beyond the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TSEM signals