Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Ltd. (Tiger Brokers) (TIGR) — closed signal from September 21, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 20, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$10.90 – $11.20Entry zone — fair-value band

$11.15Published — price the day we called it

$14.27Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$11.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$8.96Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 1% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$11.19

peak on September 30, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+0.3%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$8.96

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

September 21, 2025 – December 20, 2025

The thesis — published September 21, 2025

Predicted growth

+28%

over the measurement window

Target price

$14.27

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$10.90 – $11.20

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$11.15

published September 21, 2025

Confidence

66%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Think of TIGR as a bounce-back idea: the company's basics and investor mood look solid in analyst checks, but the price appears beaten down. Recent news is limited, though a Zacks mention keeps attention on the stock. Because this is an overseas listing with rule-related risks, position sizing should be careful. If the price can move back above 12 with lots more people buying than usual, it would point to a likely 3-month recovery.

Primary drivers

Price looks very beaten down, which can set up a potential bounce higher.
Analyst checks and investor mood look favorable in recent screeners.
A Zacks highlight keeps the stock visible to more potential buyers now.
Overseas listing and rule risks mean extra care and tighter risk controls.

How it played out

TIGR: the thesis did not play out

Lyra published TIGR at 11.15 on 2025-09-21 as a short-term bounce-back idea. The thesis expected 28% growth toward 14.27. It pointed to a beaten-down price, favorable analyst checks and investor mood in screeners, a Zacks mention that kept attention on the stock, and overseas listing and rule risks that called for care.

Inside the window from 2025-09-21 to 2025-12-20, TIGR never reached 14.27. Its peak was 11.19 on 2025-09-30, a 0.3% gain. It ended at 8.96. The published recovery thesis missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TIGR signals