Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) — closed signal from September 19, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 18, 2025 — +30.6% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 20 days.
The thesis — published September 19, 2025
This stock offers a straightforward way to benefit if gold keeps rising. Sentiment is strong, but because the price ran quickly, buying small dips is safer. Recent reports noted gold above $3,500 per ounce and the shares valued about 60.9% cheaper than peers, a powerful mix of momentum and value. If price pulls back toward $15.50-$15.80 and then firms up, the climb can continue as miners get re-rated.
Primary drivers
- Rising gold prices can rapidly boost the company's cash flow and profits.
- Shares are well below similar miners, per recent reports, drawing interest.
- The price trend is upward, showing steady momentum and improving demand.
- After a fast rise, buying on small pullbacks helps manage downside risk.
How it played out
HMY: target reached in 20 days
Lyra published HMY at $15.54 on 2025-09-19 with a short-term thesis for 22% growth. The thesis pointed to rising gold prices, strong sentiment, a fast upward price trend, and shares valued about 60.9% cheaper than peers. It also said small pullbacks near $15.50-$15.80 were the cleaner entry after the quick run.
Inside the window, HMY reached the $18.89 target in 20 days. The peak was $22.25 on 2025-10-16, a 43.1% gain from publication. It ended the window at $20.30, still above the target. The thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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