UP Fintech Holding Limited (Tiger Brokers) (TIGR) — closed signal from September 19, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 18, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 11% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published September 19, 2025
We see TIGR as a likely short-term bounce. The recent slide looks overdone, with sellers losing steam while investor mood and the company's basics look solid for a turn. We will be careful because the price can move fast, and we want signs that momentum is calming. A Zacks article highlighted TIGR as a good value, which helps. Buying around 10.75-11.00 aims for 12-13 if the price recovers.
Primary drivers
- Price looks beaten down lately, and selling now seems to be fading
- Investor mood and business basics appear stronger than the recent price action
- News from a well-known source called it good value, boosting confidence
- Aim for a near-term bounce toward 12-13 after the drop, a quick recovery
How it played out
TIGR: the target was not reached
Lyra published TIGR at 10.93 on 2025-09-19 as a short-term bounce setup. The thesis expected 25% growth and pointed to fading selling after a recent slide, stronger investor mood and business basics, a value call from Zacks, and a possible recovery toward 12 to 13.
Inside the window, TIGR peaked at 11.22 on 2025-09-19, with a 2.7% gain. That stayed below the 13.66 target. The target was never reached. By 2025-12-18, the price ended at 8.79. The published bounce thesis only showed a small early lift, then missed.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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