Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (Tiger Brokers) (TIGR) — closed signal from September 19, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 18, 2025 — -19.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$10.75 – $11.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$10.93Published — price the day we called it

$13.66Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$11.22Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$8.79Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 11% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-19.6%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+2.7%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+1.9%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$8.79

last close inside the window, ended December 18, 2025

Peak price

$11.22

peak on September 19, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published September 19, 2025

Predicted growth

+25%

over the measurement window

Target price

$13.66

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$10.75 – $11.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$10.93

published September 19, 2025

Confidence

78%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

We see TIGR as a likely short-term bounce. The recent slide looks overdone, with sellers losing steam while investor mood and the company's basics look solid for a turn. We will be careful because the price can move fast, and we want signs that momentum is calming. A Zacks article highlighted TIGR as a good value, which helps. Buying around 10.75-11.00 aims for 12-13 if the price recovers.

Primary drivers

Price looks beaten down lately, and selling now seems to be fading
Investor mood and business basics appear stronger than the recent price action
News from a well-known source called it good value, boosting confidence
Aim for a near-term bounce toward 12-13 after the drop, a quick recovery

How it played out

TIGR: the target was not reached

Lyra published TIGR at 10.93 on 2025-09-19 as a short-term bounce setup. The thesis expected 25% growth and pointed to fading selling after a recent slide, stronger investor mood and business basics, a value call from Zacks, and a possible recovery toward 12 to 13.

Inside the window, TIGR peaked at 11.22 on 2025-09-19, with a 2.7% gain. That stayed below the 13.66 target. The target was never reached. By 2025-12-18, the price ended at 8.79. The published bounce thesis only showed a small early lift, then missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TIGR signals