Track record · closed signal

Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) — closed signal from September 19, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 18, 2025 — -23.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

SRAD price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$29.00 – $30.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$30.05Published — price the day we called it

$36.05Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$31.18Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$22.92Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 19% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-23.7%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+3.8%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+1.9%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$22.92

last close inside the window, ended December 18, 2025

Peak price

$31.18

peak on September 23, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published September 19, 2025

Predicted growth

+20%

over the measurement window

Target price

$36.05

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$29.00 – $30.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$30.05

published September 19, 2025

Confidence

60%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

SRAD looks ready for a bounce after a sharp pullback, and if the price steadies and moves past recent trouble spots, momentum could return. Investor mood is strong. Recent reports show earnings up 230.8% and sales up 19.4% compared to last year, supporting steady improvement in sports data and integrity services. Consider buying around $29.00-$30.50 once it calms; consider adding above $31.50 if lots more people are buying than usual.

Primary drivers

Price pullback may be fading, setting up a possible bounce ahead
Recent news highlights big earnings gains and steady sales growth
Expanding profits from selling live sports data and tools globally
A surge in trading activity could push the stock higher faster

How it played out

SRAD: the target was not reached

Lyra published SRAD at $30.05 on 2025-09-19, with 20% expected growth and a $36.05 target by 2025-12-18. The thesis pointed to a fading pullback, stronger investor mood, earnings up 230.8%, sales up 19.4%, expanding profits from live sports data and tools, and a possible lift from heavier trading.

Inside the window, SRAD peaked at $31.18 on 2025-09-23. That was a 3.8% gain, but it stayed below the target. The target was never reached. By 2025-12-18, the stock ended at $22.92. The bounce thesis only partly showed up early, then missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All SRAD signals