Track record · closed signal

Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) — closed signal from September 19, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 18, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

SRAD price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$30.05 Published $36.05 Target $22.92 Window close $31.18 Peak
$29.00 – $30.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$30.05Published — price the day we called it
$36.05Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$31.18Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$22.92Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 19% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$31.18
peak on September 23, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+3.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$22.92
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
September 19, 2025 – December 18, 2025

The thesis — published September 19, 2025

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$36.05
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$29.00 – $30.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$30.05
published September 19, 2025
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

SRAD looks ready for a bounce after a sharp pullback, and if the price steadies and moves past recent trouble spots, momentum could return. Investor mood is strong. Recent reports show earnings up 230.8% and sales up 19.4% compared to last year, supporting steady improvement in sports data and integrity services. Consider buying around $29.00-$30.50 once it calms; consider adding above $31.50 if lots more people are buying than usual.

Primary drivers

  • Price pullback may be fading, setting up a possible bounce ahead
  • Recent news highlights big earnings gains and steady sales growth
  • Expanding profits from selling live sports data and tools globally
  • A surge in trading activity could push the stock higher faster

How it played out

SRAD: the target was not reached

Lyra published SRAD at $30.05 on 2025-09-19, with 20% expected growth and a $36.05 target by 2025-12-18. The thesis pointed to a fading pullback, stronger investor mood, earnings up 230.8%, sales up 19.4%, expanding profits from live sports data and tools, and a possible lift from heavier trading.

Inside the window, SRAD peaked at $31.18 on 2025-09-23. That was a 3.8% gain, but it stayed below the target. The target was never reached. By 2025-12-18, the stock ended at $22.92. The bounce thesis only partly showed up early, then missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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