Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) — closed signal from September 18, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 17, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 23% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published September 18, 2025
Texas Instruments is a proven chip maker whose shares fell after headlines about China looking into pricing. The slump seems overdone while overall mood for chip stocks stays positive. Consider buying near the current range and add only if the price moves back above its recent average price and strength looks healthier. If the group keeps firming up, a steady 1 to 3 month recovery is likely.
Primary drivers
- News shock pushed shares too low compared with the company's strength
- Overall mood for chip stocks is positive, drawing more buyer interest
- Leader in analog chips, aided by improving strength across the group
- Add more if price climbs above its recent average and strength improves
How it played out
TXN: target was not reached
Lyra published TXN at 179.07 on 2025-09-18 with a short-term view for 16% growth toward 205.89. The thesis pointed to a pricing-news shock that had pushed shares too low, positive mood for chip stocks, Texas Instruments' analog-chip position, and a plan to add only if the price moved back above its recent average with healthier strength.
Inside the window, TXN rose to 185.63 on 2025-09-26, a 3.7% peak gain. That peak stayed below the 205.89 target. The target was never reached. By 2025-12-17, the stock ended at 174.49. The thesis only partially played out.
What happened during the window
On 2025-10-22, MarketWatch reported that Texas Instruments' shares fell after the company gave a fourth-quarter forecast below Wall Street expectations. On 2025-10-22, Investopedia reported that TXN fell after disappointing earnings and a weaker outlook.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Share this receipt
A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.