Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from September 17, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 16, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$66.41 Published $73.86 Target $70.37 Window close $72.91 Peak
$65.58 – $66.56Entry zone — fair-value band
$66.41Published — price the day we called it
$73.86Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$72.91Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$70.37Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$72.91
peak on December 1, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+9.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$70.37
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
September 17, 2025 – December 16, 2025

The thesis — published September 17, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$73.86
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$65.58 – $66.56
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$66.41
published September 17, 2025
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola looks like a sturdy stock that may have fallen enough to attract buyers. Signs suggest sellers are tired, people feel positive about it, and it is easy to trade. Upside is likely moderate because its growth and price already reflect a lot, but calmer interest rates can help. It showed up on watchlists for reliable sales and profits. A gentle rebound over the next 0-3 months is possible as momentum cools and resets.

Primary drivers

  • Short-term clues hint the drop may be ending, setting up a bounce.
  • Investor mood is positive, and shares trade easily with strong activity.
  • Watchlist mentions for steady results can draw in patient buyers.
  • Calmer interest rates can make everyday-goods stocks more attractive.

How it played out

KO: rebound fell short of the target

Lyra published KO on 2025-09-17 at $66.41, looking for 12% growth over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to a possible rebound after selling pressure, positive investor mood, easy trading, watchlist interest for steady results, and calmer interest rates helping everyday-goods stocks.

Inside the window, KO rose to $72.91 on 2025-12-01, a 9.8% peak gain. That stayed below the $73.86 target. The target was never reached. By 2025-12-16, KO ended at $70.37. The thesis partly played out, but the published target missed.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-21, Coca-Cola reported third-quarter 2025 results, including net revenues of $12.5 billion and organic revenues growth of 6%. The same release said Coca-Cola HBC AG entered an agreement to acquire a controlling interest in Coca-Cola Beverages Africa from Coca-Cola and Gutsche Family Investments.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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