Track record · closed signal

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) — closed signal from September 17, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 16, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

CSCO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$66.26 Published $73.38 Target $77.14 Window close $80.39 Peak
$65.01 – $65.98Entry zone — fair-value band
$66.26Published — price the day we called it
$73.38Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$80.39Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$77.14Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 47 days.

Peak price
$80.39
peak on December 10, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+21.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$77.14
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
47
Window
September 17, 2025 – December 16, 2025

The thesis — published September 17, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$73.38
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$65.01 – $65.98
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$66.26
published September 17, 2025
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

CSCO looks temporarily beaten down despite being a strong, established business. Signals suggest the pullback may be tiring, and more areas of the market could join a rebound as worries cool. On 09-17 a trusted scoring model rated it highly, and an industry study sees strong data center growth through 2030, which helps networking. Buying strength is still weak, so consider adding in steps as the recent average price steadies.

Primary drivers

  • Very low readings hint the slide may be close to ending soon
  • A respected stock scoring model gave it 93% on 09-17
  • Expected data center expansion could lift demand for networking
  • Recent average price is flattening; watch for stronger buying interest

How it played out

CSCO: target reached in 47 days

Lyra published CSCO at $66.26 on 2025-09-17 with 12% expected growth and a $73.38 target. The thesis pointed to a beaten-down established business, very low readings that hinted the slide could be close to ending, a 93% stock scoring model reading on 09-17, expected data center expansion, and a flattening recent average price.

Inside the window, CSCO reached the target in 47 days. It later peaked at $80.39 on 2025-12-10, with a 21.3% peak gain. The window ended at $77.14, still above the target. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-11-12, Cisco reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $14.88 billion and raised its fiscal-year revenue outlook to $60.2 billion to $61 billion. On 2025-11-13, MarketWatch reported that Cisco projected current-quarter revenue of $15.0 billion to $15.2 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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