Sprinklr, Inc. (CXM) — closed signal from September 17, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 16, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 15% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published September 17, 2025
Sprinklr's stock dropped after earnings even though it beat both sales and profit. Analysts think it could climb about 32% toward common Wall Street targets. Management is running Project BearHug to keep customers renewing, which should steady results. With overall mood improving and smaller stocks starting to recover, a bounce over the next 0 to 3 months is reasonable if execution continues to improve.
Primary drivers
- Last quarter beat on sales and profit, yet the stock fell afterward
- Typical analyst targets point to roughly 32% upside from here
- Project BearHug aims to keep customers renewing existing contracts
- The stock looks beaten down and may have room to bounce soon
How it played out
CXM: the target was not reached
Lyra published CXM at 7.85 on September 17, 2025, with expected growth of 30% and a 10.20 target. The thesis pointed to a last-quarter beat on sales and profit despite a post-earnings drop, typical analyst targets with roughly 32% upside, Project BearHug as a renewal effort, and a beaten-down stock that might bounce over 0 to 3 months.
Inside the window from September 17 to December 16, 2025, CXM peaked at 8.21 on December 10. The peak gain was 4.5%, and the price stayed below 10.20. It ended at 7.85. The thesis did not play out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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