Track record · closed signal

LendingClub Corporation (LC) — closed signal from September 17, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 16, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

LC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.44 Published $21.28 Target $18.98 Window close $20.94 Peak
$17.00 – $17.75Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.44Published — price the day we called it
$21.28Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$20.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$18.98Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$20.94
peak on December 11, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$18.98
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
September 17, 2025 – December 16, 2025

The thesis — published September 17, 2025

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$21.28
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$17.00 – $17.75
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.44
published September 17, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

LendingClub looks like a short-term idea driven by mood. The recent average price is rising even while another price signal is slower, which often means buyers step in on dips. Similar finance stocks have been climbing, helping sentiment. If interest rates ease, profits on loans and customer demand can improve. Because core results are still modest, wait for the uptrend to look firmer and watch consumer loan health.

Primary drivers

  • Recent average price is rising, hinting steady buying when shares dip
  • Gains among similar companies are lifting confidence across the group
  • Lower interest rates could widen profits and bring more borrowers to LendingClub
  • Wait for momentum to turn upward before getting more confident here

How it played out

LC: target missed after a 20.1% peak gain

Lyra published LC on 2025-09-17 as a short-term idea at 17.44. The thesis expected 22% growth to 21.28. It pointed to a rising recent average price, buying on dips, stronger similar finance stocks, possible help from lower interest rates, and the need for firmer momentum because core results were still modest.

Inside the window from 2025-09-17 to 2025-12-16, LC rose but did not reach 21.28. The peak was 20.94 on 2025-12-11, a 20.1% gain. It ended at 18.98. The thesis partially played out on direction and strength, but the published target was missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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