Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (Tiger Brokers) (TIGR) — closed signal from September 17, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 16, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$11.00 – $11.60Entry zone — fair-value band

$11.31Published — price the day we called it

$14.93Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$11.55Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$8.88Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 7% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$11.55

peak on September 17, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+2.1%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$8.88

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

September 17, 2025 – December 16, 2025

The thesis — published September 17, 2025

Predicted growth

+32%

over the measurement window

Target price

$14.93

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$11.00 – $11.60

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$11.31

published September 17, 2025

Confidence

78%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

The stock has been beaten down and looks ready for a short-term bounce. Recent mood is extremely negative, which often sets the stage for a snapback. In August, quarterly profit jumped about 1,500 percent, and the market has not fully reacted. We plan to build a position in steps and wait for signs that buying strength is returning. If that shows up, a move back toward earlier price levels in 0 to 3 months is reasonable.

Primary drivers

Quarterly profit jumped about 1,500% on Aug 29, a major positive surprise
A very low momentum reading suggests sellers may be exhausted now
Mood is extremely negative; look for proof that buyers are taking control
Active individual investor trading could help fuel a quick rebound

How it played out

TIGR: the target was not reached

Lyra published TIGR on 2025-09-17 at $11.31 for a short-term window ending 2025-12-16. The thesis expected 32% growth toward $14.93. It pointed to a beaten-down stock, very negative mood, a very low momentum reading, quarterly profit that had jumped about 1,500% on Aug 29, and active individual investor trading as possible support for a quick rebound.

Inside the window, TIGR peaked at $11.55 on 2025-09-17, with a peak gain of 2.1%. It stayed below the target and never reached $14.93. By 2025-12-16, it ended at $8.88. The thesis missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TIGR signals