Track record · closed signal

Millicom International Cellular S.A. (TIGO) — closed signal from September 16, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 15, 2025 — +17% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$45.17 Published $49.51 Target $52.85 Window close $55.45 Peak
$41.95 – $42.84Entry zone — fair-value band
$45.17Published — price the day we called it
$49.51Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$55.45Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$52.85Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 62 days.

At window close
+17%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+22.7%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+3.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$52.85
last close inside the window, ended December 15, 2025
Peak price
$55.45
peak on November 18, 2025 — not a realized return
Days to target
62

The thesis — published September 16, 2025

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$49.51
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$41.95 – $42.84
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$45.17
published September 16, 2025
Confidence
61%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

- Explain what the company does - Why the price could bounce soon - Key risks and timing - Keep position size small TIGO moves faster than average and looks weak now, but it may drift back toward its usual range over about 3 months. The recent average price trend is up, yet buying strength has not confirmed. A fresh positive rating, a partial debt paydown on 09-05, and strong year-to-date gains help sentiment. Currency swings and local rules raise risk, so stay modest.

Primary drivers

  • Price looks washed out, which often leads to short-term rebounds
  • Debt fell after a bond payback on 09-05, improving flexibility
  • 09-16 research viewed the setup favorably, boosting confidence
  • Strong year-to-date gains keep investors focused on the stock

How it played out

TIGO: target reached in 62 days

Lyra published TIGO at 45.17 on 2025-09-16 with a short-term rebound thesis. The expected gain was 16%, with a target of 49.51. The thesis pointed to a washed-out price setup, debt falling after a bond payback on 09-05, a favorable 09-16 research view, and strong year-to-date gains.

Inside the window, the stock rose past the target. It peaked at 55.45 on 2025-11-18, for a 22.7% peak gain, and reached the target in 62 days. It ended the window at 52.85, still above the target. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-11-14, Cinco Días reported that Colombia's competition authority approved, with conditions, the integration of Movistar and Tigo mobile operations in Colombia.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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