Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA) — closed signal from July 7, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 5, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 39% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published July 7, 2025
Sales beat expectations by 44% and profits tripled, making investors excited. Subscriptions now bring in 80% of revenue at a rich 77% margin. If the share price pushes above $56, watchers think it can climb to $67-70. A July 7 article calling the stock a “Bull of the Day” keeps it in the spotlight for the next few months.
Primary drivers
- Q1 sales rose 44% and profits tripled, earning top analyst praise.
- Buying has jumped, backing a price pattern that points higher.
- 80% of revenue is now subscription, giving steady, high-margin cash.
- A July 7 headline naming it a top pick keeps public interest strong.
How it played out
PEGA: target was not reached
Lyra published PEGA on July 7, 2025 at $54.60 with expected growth of 30%. The thesis pointed to Q1 sales up 44%, profits that tripled, subscriptions at 80% of revenue, a 77% margin, stronger buying, and a July 7 top-pick headline. It also said a move above $56 could open a path toward $67-70.
Inside the July 7 to October 5 window, PEGA rose to a peak of $60.94 on September 24. That was an 11.6% gain, but it stayed below the $70.91 target. It ended at $55.43. The thesis partly played out, but the target was missed.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Share this receipt
A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.