Track record · closed signal

Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) — closed signal from September 14, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 13, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

WFC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$81.03 Published $92.70 Target $92.76 Window close $93.42 Peak
$79.81 – $81.44Entry zone — fair-value band
$81.03Published — price the day we called it
$92.70Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$93.42Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$92.76Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 88 days.

Peak price
$93.42
peak on December 11, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$92.76
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
88
Window
September 14, 2025 – December 13, 2025

The thesis — published September 14, 2025

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$92.70
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$79.81 – $81.44
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$81.03
published September 14, 2025
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Investors are turning more positive on WFC, and the stock shows a gentle pickup in upward movement. Recent news of a $5.5B share buyback, upbeat commentary, and more capacity to make loans could support a steady climb over the next three months. Because the core numbers are still only okay, we prefer entering in steps and adding only after strength confirms, keeping risk near recent lows.

Primary drivers

  • Share buybacks can raise earnings per share and help the stock hold up
  • Trend is improving, pointing to a modest push higher if buying continues
  • Bigger lending capacity can grow revenue and deepen customer relationships
  • Investor mood is upbeat, which can keep demand for the shares strong

How it played out

WFC: target reached in 88 days

Lyra published WFC at 81.03 on 2025-09-14 with a short-term view for 15% growth. The thesis pointed to a $5.5B share buyback, a gentle pickup in upward movement, upbeat commentary, and more capacity to make loans. It also said the core numbers were still only okay.

Inside the window, WFC reached the 92.7 target. The peak was 93.42 on 2025-12-11, with a 15.3% gain. The target was reached in 88 days. The stock ended the window at 92.76. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-14, Wells Fargo reported third-quarter earnings of $1.66 per share on $21.44 billion in revenue. On 2025-11-17, Barron's reported that Wells Fargo recruited a financial advisor team from Merrill that had overseen $3 billion in assets.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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