Track record · closed signal

DHT Holdings Inc. (DHT) — closed signal from July 7, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 5, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

DHT price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$10.94 Published $13.20 Target $11.69 Window close $12.88 Peak
$10.07 – $10.44Entry zone — fair-value band
$10.94Published — price the day we called it
$13.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$12.88Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$11.69Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 71% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$12.88
peak on September 17, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$11.69
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
July 7, 2025 – October 5, 2025

The thesis — published July 7, 2025

Predicted growth
+25%
over the measurement window
Target price
$13.20
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$10.07 – $10.44
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$10.94
published July 7, 2025
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

An indicator that tracks price momentum suggests the recent slide may be over, right as daily shipping fees for big oil tankers jump above $40,000. The company will add a nearly new ship in the third quarter, increasing how much it can earn. Plus, news that large investment funds own 64% of the shares often helps steady prices. If shipping fees stay strong, the stock could climb toward $14 in the next few months.

Primary drivers

  • Daily tanker fees above $40k quickly boost profits for the mainly spot fleet.
  • Price chart now looks oversold and steadying, hinting at a possible base.
  • New ship arriving in Q3 shows management optimism and lifts carrying capacity.
  • Article noting 64% big-fund ownership can provide price support in downturns.

How it played out

DHT: thesis partially played out but target was missed

Lyra published DHT at $10.94 on 2025-07-07 with a short-term thesis for 25% expected growth. The thesis pointed to tanker fees above $40k, an oversold and steadying price chart, a new ship arriving in Q3, and reported 64% big-fund ownership as possible support.

Inside the window from 2025-07-07 to 2025-10-05, DHT rose to a peak of $12.88 on 2025-09-17, a 17.7% gain. That stayed below the $13.2 target. The stock ended the window at $11.69. The thesis partially played out, but the published target was missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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