Track record · closed signal

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) — closed signal from September 13, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 12, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

NEE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$69.56 – $71.04Entry zone — fair-value band

$71.16Published — price the day we called it

$79.16Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$86.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$81.65Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 20 days.

Peak price

$86.94

peak on October 28, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+22.2%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$81.65

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

Window

September 13, 2025 – December 12, 2025

The thesis — published September 13, 2025

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$79.16

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$69.56 – $71.04

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$71.16

published September 13, 2025

Confidence

63%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Power use should rise as data centers and AI grow, which can help NextEra. If rates fall, borrowing costs drop and steady dividends look better, drawing more buyers. The price has been flat, so some may wait for a clear push from news. Talks on nuclear and a possible Fed rate cut help; policy changes are the main risk.

Primary drivers

AI and data centers likely boost power use, lifting demand for NextEra.
Falling rates make borrowing cheaper and steady dividends more appealing.
Large scale in wind and solar helps win projects and cut costs over time.
Rules, permits, and project delays could slow or reshape growth plans.

How it played out

NEE: target reached in 20 days

Lyra published NEE at $71.16 on 2025-09-13 with 12% expected growth. The thesis pointed to rising power use from data centers and artificial intelligence, lower rates making borrowing cheaper and dividends more appealing, scale in wind and solar, and the risk that rules, permits, or project delays could slow growth plans.

Inside the window, the stock reached the $79.16 target in 20 days. It later peaked at $86.94 on 2025-10-28, a 22.2% gain, and ended at $81.65. The published thesis played out. It got there, then stayed above the target at the close.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-27, NextEra and Google agreed to restart the Duane Arnold nuclear plant in Iowa under a 25-year power purchase agreement. On 2025-12-08, NextEra announced Google and Meta data-center power deals and raised its adjusted earnings outlook.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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