Track record · closed signal

Innodata Inc. (INOD) — closed signal from September 13, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 12, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

INOD price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$62.56 Published $81.33 Target $52.40 Window close $93.85 Peak
$60.00 – $62.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$62.56Published — price the day we called it
$81.33Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$93.85Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$52.40Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 18 days.

Peak price
$93.85
peak on October 8, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+50%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$52.40
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
18
Window
September 13, 2025 – December 12, 2025

The thesis — published September 13, 2025

Predicted growth
+30%
over the measurement window
Target price
$81.33
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$60.00 – $62.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$62.56
published September 13, 2025
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Innodata builds AI data and tools for large companies. The stock moves a lot and has run up, so waiting for small dips is safer. Q2 sales rose 79% compared to last year. An analyst kept a Buy with a $75 goal, citing rising demand for agent-style AI work. Over the next 0-3 months, new deals and steady interest could lift prices gradually. But swings can be sharp and results rely on a few big wins, so start small and set clear exit plans.

Primary drivers

  • Q2 sales rose 79% compared to last year, showing strong demand.
  • Focus on agent-style AI tools is drawing interest from enterprise clients.
  • Lots more people are buying than usual, which can keep the trend up.
  • Big price swings and reliance on a few wins mean position sizes matter.

How it played out

INOD: target reached in 18 days

Lyra published INOD at $62.56 on 2025-09-13 for a short-term window ending 2025-12-12. The thesis expected 30% growth and pointed to Q2 sales rising 79% compared with last year, enterprise interest in agent-style artificial intelligence tools, unusually heavy buying, and the risk of sharp swings tied to reliance on a few wins.

Inside the window, INOD reached a peak of $93.85 on 2025-10-08. It reached the $81.33 target in 18 days, and the peak gain was 50%. By the end of the window, the stock had fallen to $52.40. The thesis played out on the target, even though the later close gave back the move.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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