Track record · closed signal

Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) — closed signal from September 11, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 10, 2025 — -12% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

UBER price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$93.50 – $96.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$95.63Published — price the day we called it

$114.76Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$101.99Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$84.16Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 33% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-12%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+6.6%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+4.8%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$84.16

last close inside the window, ended December 10, 2025

Peak price

$101.99

peak on September 22, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published September 11, 2025

Predicted growth

+20%

over the measurement window

Target price

$114.76

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$93.50 – $96.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$95.63

published September 11, 2025

Confidence

70%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Uber looks stronger as it is generating steady operating profits, with news repeating a $1.5B goal for Q2. When a company turns profitable, investors often value it higher, especially as the stock nears prior highs. The trend looks healthy, with the recent average price rising and trading firm, even if a short-term momentum signal is soft. Plan for a brief dip, then continuation; possible rate cuts could help demand.

Primary drivers

Turning profitable is a key shift that can lift investor confidence
Uptrend and heavier trading point to growing interest in the stock
Positive investor mood may bring more large, long-term backers
Possible rate cuts could boost demand for rides and deliveries

How it played out

UBER: target was not reached inside the window

Lyra published UBER at $95.63 on 2025-09-11 with a 20% expected gain and a $114.76 target. The thesis pointed to steady operating profits, a stronger uptrend, heavier trading, better investor mood, and possible rate cuts that could help rides and deliveries.

Inside the window, UBER rose to $101.99 on 2025-09-22, a 6.6% peak gain. It never reached $114.76. By 2025-12-10, it ended at $84.16. The thesis partially played out early because the stock rose, but it missed the target and finished below the publication price.

What happened during the window

On 2025-11-04, Uber reported third-quarter results, with trips up 22%, monthly active platform users up 17%, gross bookings of $49.7 billion, and revenue of $13.47 billion. On 2025-11-26, Uber and WeRide expanded their Abu Dhabi robotaxi service to fully driverless vehicles on Yas Island.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All UBER signals