Track record · closed signal

ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR) — closed signal from September 11, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 10, 2025 — +34.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

ACMR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$29.40 Published $38.22 Target $39.48 Window close $45.12 Peak
$28.50 – $29.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$29.40Published — price the day we called it
$38.22Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$45.12Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$39.48Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 12 days.

At window close
+34.3%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+53.5%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$39.48
last close inside the window, ended December 10, 2025
Peak price
$45.12
peak on October 2, 2025 — not a realized return
Days to target
12

The thesis — published September 11, 2025

Predicted growth
+30%
over the measurement window
Target price
$38.22
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$28.50 – $29.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$29.40
published September 11, 2025
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

ACMR benefits from China building more chip factories. It just shipped a new tool (Ultra Lith KrF track), and a major bank lifted its price target to $40.1 after a solid Q2, showing steady demand. Trading interest looks strong, with lots more people buying than usual. Still, profits and cash strength look mixed, and China-US policy shifts can swing the stock. Consider buying on dips and add in steps; a push past 36 on heavy trading would add confidence.

Primary drivers

  • Buying interest is rising, and the recent average price is trending up
  • New tool shipped; a major bank raised its target, signaling confidence
  • China is boosting chip factory spending, lifting demand for equipment
  • Policy and trade tensions could quickly swing results and the share price

How it played out

ACMR: target reached in 12 days

Lyra published ACMR at $29.40 on 2025-09-11 with a short-term thesis for 30% expected growth. The thesis pointed to rising buying interest, a recent average price trend up, a new tool shipment, a major bank target raise, stronger China chip factory spending, and policy or trade risk that could swing the share price.

Inside the window, the stock reached the $38.22 target in 12 days. It peaked at $45.12 on 2025-10-02, with a 53.5% peak gain. It ended the window at $39.48, still above the target. The published thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All ACMR signals