Track record · closed signal

Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) — closed signal from September 11, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 10, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

MU price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$154.01 Published $193.85 Target $263.60 Window close $264.64 Peak
$150.69 – $155.18Entry zone — fair-value band
$154.01Published — price the day we called it
$193.85Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$264.64Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$263.60Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 25 days.

Peak price
$264.64
peak on December 10, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+71.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$263.60
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
25
Window
September 11, 2025 – December 10, 2025

The thesis — published September 11, 2025

Predicted growth
+26%
over the measurement window
Target price
$193.85
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$150.69 – $155.18
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$154.01
published September 11, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Micron leads in memory chips for AI, and that strength is drawing more interest. Citi lifted its goal to $175, and hopes for lower rates help fast-growing tech. Trading has been lively and recent average prices are climbing, but the stock has jumped quickly. Plan to buy on dips or after a strong push above 156-158 with lots more people buying than usual, aiming for the next 0-3 months while staying mindful of swings.

Primary drivers

  • AI demand is lifting the need for advanced memory chips across the industry
  • Trend looks strong: recent average price is rising and trading is busier than normal
  • Citi raised its price target to $175, showing strong support from major banks
  • The stock ran up fast, so use patience and plan entries to avoid overpaying

How it played out

MU: target reached in 25 days

Lyra published MU at $154.01 on Sep 11, 2025. The thesis expected 26% growth over a short-term window and pointed to demand for advanced memory chips, a rising recent average price, busier trading, Citi's $175 goal, and the risk that the stock had already run up fast.

Inside the window, MU reached the $193.85 target in 25 days. The stock peaked at $264.64 on Dec 10, 2025, with a 71.8% peak gain, and ended at $263.60. The published thesis played out. It did more than reach the target, and it held near its peak at the window close.

What happened during the window

On Sep 23, 2025, Micron reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $11.32 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $3.03. On Dec 3, 2025, Micron announced plans to wind down its Crucial consumer business by the end of February 2026.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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