Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (Tiger Brokers) (TIGR) — closed signal from September 11, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 10, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$10.80 – $11.60Entry zone — fair-value band

$11.55Published — price the day we called it

$15.25Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$11.66Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$9.21Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 3% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$11.66

peak on September 11, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+1%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$9.21

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

September 11, 2025 – December 10, 2025

The thesis — published September 11, 2025

Predicted growth

+32%

over the measurement window

Target price

$15.25

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$10.80 – $11.60

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$11.55

published September 11, 2025

Confidence

73%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

UP Fintech just reported a huge profit jump, showing the business may have turned a corner. The stock looks very beaten down, so a short-term bounce over the next 0-3 months is possible as the price drifts back toward the new profit level. We would buy in steps near the low end of the range and add only if price action improves, because sentiment is high but there are known risks from ADRs and policy changes.

Primary drivers

Profit surged in Q2, suggesting the company has moved into a stronger phase.
Price looks washed out, increasing chances of a near-term rebound.
Investor interest is rising as more users engage with the platform.
Overseas listing and policy rules add risk, so position size stays modest.

How it played out

TIGR: the target was not reached

Lyra published TIGR at 11.55 on September 11, 2025, with a short-term window through December 10, 2025. The thesis expected 32% growth toward 15.25. It pointed to a Q2 profit surge, a washed-out price, rising investor interest on the platform, and added risk from overseas listing and policy rules.

Inside the window, TIGR peaked at 11.66 on September 11, 2025, for a 1% gain. It never reached 15.25. By December 10, 2025, it ended at 9.21. The thesis missed the price target, and the expected rebound did not play out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TIGR signals