Track record · closed signal

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) — closed signal from September 10, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 9, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

AVGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$357.35 Published $441.51 Target $405.51 Window close $406.51 Peak
$345.49 – $353.43Entry zone — fair-value band
$357.35Published — price the day we called it
$441.51Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$406.51Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$405.51Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 58% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$406.51
peak on December 8, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$405.51
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
September 10, 2025 – December 9, 2025

The thesis — published September 10, 2025

Predicted growth
+24%
over the measurement window
Target price
$441.51
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$345.49 – $353.43
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$357.35
published September 10, 2025
Confidence
86%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Broadcom is riding strong interest in AI chips and the networks that move data. Common trend signals and a strong recent average price, plus heavier-than-usual buying, suggest the uptrend is healthy. Prices look rich, so patience on dips makes sense. With the market lifted by cooling inflation and Oracle highlighting AI data center demand, easing in over the next 0-3 months can target continued strength.

Primary drivers

  • Trend looks strong on common chart signals and recent average price
  • Rising demand for AI chips and the networks that connect data centers
  • Cooling wholesale inflation helps investors feel better about tech prices
  • Oracle's upbeat AI comments suggest more data center spending ahead

How it played out

AVGO: thesis partly played out but target was missed

Lyra published AVGO at $357.35 on 2025-09-10 with expected growth of 24%. The thesis pointed to strong trend signals, demand for artificial intelligence chips and data-center networking, cooling wholesale inflation, and Oracle's upbeat comments about data-center spending.

Inside the 2025-09-10 to 2025-12-09 window, AVGO rose but did not reach the $441.51 target. The peak was $406.51 on 2025-12-08, with a 13.8% gain. It ended at $405.51. The thesis partly played out, but the target was missed.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-13, Broadcom and OpenAI announced a strategic agreement to co-develop and deploy 10 gigawatts of custom accelerators and rack systems. Deployments were expected to begin in the second half of 2026.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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