Track record · closed signal

Innodata Inc. (INOD) — closed signal from September 8, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 7, 2025 — +25.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

INOD price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$46.04 Published $60.78 Target $57.78 Window close $93.85 Peak
$44.50 – $46.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$46.04Published — price the day we called it
$60.78Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$93.85Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$57.78Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 3 days.

At window close
+25.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+103.8%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+6%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$57.78
last close inside the window, ended December 7, 2025
Peak price
$93.85
peak on October 8, 2025 — not a realized return
Days to target
3

The thesis — published September 8, 2025

Predicted growth
+32%
over the measurement window
Target price
$60.78
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$44.50 – $46.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$46.04
published September 8, 2025
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Innodata's business is picking up. In Q2, sales rose 79% compared to last year, and the company raised its 2025 outlook, which builds confidence. The overall trend looks positive, but the stock may be a bit hot, so buying on dips makes sense. This week the price moved back above its long-term average, and big investors were reported buying. Fast growth plus these signs suggest 0-3 month upside, with bumps along the way.

Primary drivers

  • AI service sales are speeding up, showing strong demand from customers
  • Price momentum is positive; back above the long-term average price
  • News: Q2 sales rose 79% vs last year, and funds are buying shares
  • The stock is running fast; consider pullbacks after a big run

How it played out

INOD: target reached in 3 days

Lyra published INOD at 46.04 on 2025-09-08, with 32% expected growth and a 60.78 target. The thesis pointed to sales up 79% in Q2, a raised 2025 outlook, demand for artificial intelligence services, price momentum back above the long-term average price, and reported fund buying. It also noted that the stock had been running fast.

Inside the window from 2025-09-08 to 2025-12-07, INOD reached the target in 3 days. The stock later peaked at 93.85 on 2025-10-08, with a 103.8% peak gain. It ended at 57.78, below the target but still above the published price. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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