Track record · closed signal

Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) — closed signal from September 8, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 7, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

WFC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$79.09 Published $90.48 Target $89.83 Window close $91.11 Peak
$77.19 – $78.97Entry zone — fair-value band
$79.09Published — price the day we called it
$90.48Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$91.11Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$89.83Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 88 days.

Peak price
$91.11
peak on December 5, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$89.83
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
88
Window
September 8, 2025 – December 7, 2025

The thesis — published September 8, 2025

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$90.48
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$77.19 – $78.97
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$79.09
published September 8, 2025
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Wells Fargo looks set for a short-term rebound after a sharp pullback. Recent price action suggests buyers are stepping in, and lots more people are buying than usual. The bank also widened access to alternative investments through InvestCloud, which could add steadier fee income. Because bank stocks still react quickly to jobs data and interest rates, this idea is a 0-3 month trade, not a long hold.

Primary drivers

  • Price fell hard but buyer momentum is improving, hinting at a rebound.
  • InvestCloud expansion could add steadier fees from alternative products.
  • If rates ease, lending margins and overall loan health can improve.
  • Banks can swing on jobs and inflation data, so near-term moves may be choppy.

How it played out

WFC: target reached in 88 days

Lyra published WFC at $79.09 on 2025-09-08 with a short-term rebound thesis. The expected growth was 15%. The thesis pointed to improving buyer momentum after a hard pullback, wider access to alternative investments through InvestCloud, possible support from easier rates, and choppy near-term moves tied to jobs and inflation data.

Inside the window, WFC reached a peak of $91.11 on 2025-12-05, above the $90.48 target. The target was reached in 88 days. The peak gain was 15.2%. The stock ended at $89.83 on 2025-12-07. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-14, Wells Fargo reported third-quarter earnings of $1.66 a share on revenue of $21.44 billion, according to Investors.com. On 2025-11-17, Barron's reported that Wells Fargo recruited a financial advisor team from Merrill that had overseen $3 billion in assets.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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