Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from September 8, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 7, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$156.49 Published $200.31 Target $181.76 Window close $207.52 Peak
$152.00 – $157.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$156.49Published — price the day we called it
$200.31Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$207.52Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$181.76Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 53 days.

Peak price
$207.52
peak on November 3, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+32.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$181.76
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
53
Window
September 8, 2025 – December 7, 2025

The thesis — published September 8, 2025

Predicted growth
+28%
over the measurement window
Target price
$200.31
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$152.00 – $157.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$156.49
published September 8, 2025
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Palantir is a leading AI company with strong business trends, but the stock looks weak in the very short term. Oversold readings suggest a quick rebound is possible, yet other signs still lean lower, so waiting and buying in small steps is prudent. Wedbush again named it among top AI winners. Recent reports showed sales up 25% and earnings up 32%. The long story remains solid, but we want price strength to raise confidence.

Primary drivers

  • More companies signing up for Palantir's AI tools and contracts steadily
  • Short-term readings show the stock is very oversold, hinting at a rebound
  • Analyst firm Wedbush again highlighted Palantir as a leading AI winner
  • Recent reports show sales up 25% and earnings up 32%, supporting the story

How it played out

PLTR: target reached in 53 days

Lyra published PLTR at 156.49 on 2025-09-08 with a short-term view and expected growth of 28%. The thesis pointed to more companies signing up for Palantir's artificial intelligence tools, oversold short-term readings, Wedbush again highlighting the company, and recent reports showing sales up 25% and earnings up 32%.

Inside the window, the stock reached a peak of 207.52 on 2025-11-03, above the 200.31 target. It reached the target in 53 days. The peak gain was 32.6%. By 2025-12-07, it ended at 181.76. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-11-03, Palantir reported third-quarter results. Investopedia reported revenue of $1.18 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $0.21.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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