Track record · closed signal

Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) — closed signal from September 7, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 6, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

CRM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$242.37 – $250.32Entry zone — fair-value band

$249.92Published — price the day we called it

$303.88Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$266.70Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$260.15Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 30% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$266.70

peak on October 21, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+6.7%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$260.15

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

September 7, 2025 – December 6, 2025

The thesis — published September 7, 2025

Predicted growth

+22%

over the measurement window

Target price

$303.88

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$242.37 – $250.32

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$249.92

published September 7, 2025

Confidence

69%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Salesforce is a steady play on business software with growing AI tools. Lately there has been more buying than usual, which helps offset recent swings in tech. The firm remains a clear leader for sales, service, and marketing teams, and it keeps margins disciplined. As corporate budgets settle and more customers use the new AI features, we expect a gradual move higher over the next three months.

Primary drivers

Lots more people are buying than usual, and the price trend is improving
Investor mood held up after recent AI swings, showing steady confidence
New AI tools help sell more products to existing customers across teams
Tight cost control keeps cash coming in to fund growth and buybacks

How it played out

CRM: target was not reached

Lyra published CRM at 249.92 on 2025-09-07 with an expected 22% move. The thesis pointed to improving buying and price trend, steadier investor mood after artificial intelligence swings, new artificial intelligence tools that could help sell more products to existing customers, and tight cost control.

Inside the window, CRM rose, but it did not reach 303.88. The peak was 266.70 on 2025-10-21, a 6.7% gain. It ended at 260.15 on 2025-12-06. The thesis partially played out because the stock moved higher, but the published target was missed.

What happened during the window

On October 13, 2025, Salesforce announced Agentforce 360, according to TechRadar. On December 3, 2025, MarketWatch reported that Salesforce raised its full-year revenue forecast after quarterly revenue of $10.3 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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