Track record · closed signal

Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) — closed signal from September 6, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 5, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

VZ price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$42.53 – $43.30Entry zone — fair-value band

$43.63Published — price the day we called it

$48.04Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$43.66Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$41.69Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 1% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$43.66

peak on September 17, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+0.1%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$41.69

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

September 6, 2025 – December 5, 2025

The thesis — published September 6, 2025

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$48.04

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$42.53 – $43.30

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$43.63

published September 6, 2025

Confidence

65%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Verizon looks like a steady choice for both income and modest growth. It just raised its dividend for the 19th year in a row, a sign it brings in reliable cash and can keep paying investors. Price action has been calm and improving, and the market tone is fairly positive. We expect a slow climb over the next three months toward prior highs, with the dividend helping soften any pullbacks.

Primary drivers

Dividend raised for the 19th year, showing steady, dependable cash
Price action is calming and improving after a long, quiet consolidation phase
Strong, steady cash from a high-quality nationwide wireless network
Resilient business that can hold up even if the economy wobbles or slows

How it played out

VZ: the target was never reached

Lyra published VZ on 2025-09-06 at 43.63. The thesis expected 12% growth over a short-term window, with a target of 48.04. It pointed to a 19th straight dividend raise, calm and improving price action, steady cash from the wireless network, and a business that could hold up if the economy slowed.

Inside the window, VZ peaked at 43.66 on 2025-09-17, a 0.1% gain. It stayed below the 48.04 target. The window ended on 2025-12-05 at 41.69. The thesis missed.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-06, Verizon named Dan Schulman CEO, replacing Hans Vestberg. On 2025-10-29, Verizon reported third-quarter earnings of 1.21 per share on 33.8 billion in revenue, while revenue missed estimates cited in the article.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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