Track record · closed signal

Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) — closed signal from September 3, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 2, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

CDE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.83 Published $17.97 Target $16.55 Window close $23.62 Peak
$13.20 – $13.70Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.83Published — price the day we called it
$17.97Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$23.62Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$16.55Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 19 days.

Peak price
$23.62
peak on October 16, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+70.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$16.55
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
19
Window
September 3, 2025 – December 2, 2025

The thesis — published September 3, 2025

Predicted growth
+30%
over the measurement window
Target price
$17.97
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$13.20 – $13.70
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.83
published September 3, 2025
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coeur is benefiting from strong interest in gold and silver. Many more buyers than usual are stepping in, while news highlights gold at a record, silver above $40, and record Q2 free cash flow of $146M. The price has run up quickly, so aiming to buy after a small 2-4% dip is safer. If precious metal prices stay firm and cash generation keeps improving, the stock could keep climbing over the next quarter, as long as any pullbacks stay calm.

Primary drivers

  • Gold and silver near highs create a helpful backdrop for miners
  • Record free cash flow strengthens the balance sheet and funding needs
  • Clear uptrend accompanied by much heavier buying than normal
  • Price rose quickly, so waiting to buy on small dips can be smarter

How it played out

CDE: target reached in 19 days

Lyra published CDE at 13.83 on 2025-09-03 with expected growth of 30%. The thesis pointed to strong interest in gold and silver, gold and silver near highs, $146M in Q2 free cash flow, heavier buying than normal, and a plan to wait for a small 2-4% dip after a quick rise.

Inside the window, the stock reached the 17.97 target in 19 days. It later peaked at 23.62 on 2025-10-16, a 70.8% gain. By 2025-12-02, it ended at 16.55. The thesis played out, and the target was reached before the window closed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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