Track record · closed signal

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated (ELAN) — closed signal from September 1, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 30, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

ELAN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$18.35 Published $21.47 Target $23.27 Window close $23.70 Peak
$18.00 – $18.75Entry zone — fair-value band
$18.35Published — price the day we called it
$21.47Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$23.70Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$23.27Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 36 days.

Peak price
$23.70
peak on November 26, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+29.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$23.27
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
36
Window
September 1, 2025 – November 30, 2025

The thesis — published September 1, 2025

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$21.47
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$18.00 – $18.75
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$18.35
published September 1, 2025
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Elanco's stock is being driven more by mood and price action than by hard numbers right now. At the end of August, the price moved above what many analysts expected over the next year, which can nudge them to raise those goals. Buying interest is strong, with lots more people buying than usual and a firm recent average price. If estimates improve and the trend holds, shares could drift higher over the next 3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Price trend is up, and the recent average price remains firm and rising
  • Buying interest looks stronger than usual, showing steady demand from traders
  • Share price moved above many analysts' 12-month targets, drawing attention
  • Analysts may raise earnings forecasts, which often supports higher prices

How it played out

ELAN: target reached in 36 days

Lyra published ELAN at $18.35 on 2025-09-01, with 17% expected growth over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to an uptrend, stronger than usual buying interest, a firm recent average price, attention from trading above many analyst targets, and possible estimate raises.

Inside the window, the stock reached the $21.47 target in 36 days. It later peaked at $23.70 on 2025-11-26, with a 29.2% gain at the high. The end price was $23.27 on 2025-11-30. The thesis played out, and the move went past the target before the window closed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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