Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from September 1, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 30, 2025 — +7.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$154.00 – $158.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$156.71Published — price the day we called it

$188.05Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$207.52Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$168.45Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 31 days.

At window close

+7.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+32.4%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+6.2%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$168.45

last close inside the window, ended November 30, 2025

Peak price

$207.52

peak on November 3, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published September 1, 2025

Predicted growth

+20%

over the measurement window

Target price

$188.05

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$154.00 – $158.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$156.71

published September 1, 2025

Confidence

60%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Palantir's price has dropped fast even though it is a popular AI name. That can set up a short-term move back toward a more typical level. Recent news keeps investors focused on fast-growing tech, so interest should stay high even with ups and downs. Plan to buy in steps and keep positions small over the next 3 months. If the slide slows and demand firms up, a bounce is reasonable, but stay disciplined.

Primary drivers

Price fell hard recently, making a short-term rebound more likely
AI excitement keeps investors interested in the company and story
Big price swings mean buy smaller amounts to limit risk and stress
If demand steadies, the price could bounce in the near term and recover

How it played out

PLTR: target reached in 31 days

Lyra published PLTR at $156.71 on 2025-09-01 for a short-term window through 2025-11-30. The thesis expected 20% growth to $188.05. It pointed to a sharp recent drop, continued investor interest in artificial intelligence names, smaller position sizing because of big swings, and a possible rebound if demand steadied.

The price reached the target in 31 days. It later peaked at $207.52 on 2025-11-03, with a 32.4% peak gain. By the end of the window it was $168.45. The thesis played out. It got there, then finished below the peak but still above the publication price.

What happened during the window

On 2025-09-18, the UK Ministry of Defence announced a strategic partnership with Palantir tied to defence technology work. On 2025-11-03, Palantir reported third-quarter revenue of $1.18 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $0.21.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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