Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from September 1, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 30, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$156.71 Published $188.05 Target $168.45 Window close $207.52 Peak
$154.00 – $158.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$156.71Published — price the day we called it
$188.05Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$207.52Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$168.45Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 31 days.

Peak price
$207.52
peak on November 3, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+32.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$168.45
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
31
Window
September 1, 2025 – November 30, 2025

The thesis — published September 1, 2025

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$188.05
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$154.00 – $158.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$156.71
published September 1, 2025
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Palantir's price has dropped fast even though it is a popular AI name. That can set up a short-term move back toward a more typical level. Recent news keeps investors focused on fast-growing tech, so interest should stay high even with ups and downs. Plan to buy in steps and keep positions small over the next 3 months. If the slide slows and demand firms up, a bounce is reasonable, but stay disciplined.

Primary drivers

  • Price fell hard recently, making a short-term rebound more likely
  • AI excitement keeps investors interested in the company and story
  • Big price swings mean buy smaller amounts to limit risk and stress
  • If demand steadies, the price could bounce in the near term and recover

How it played out

PLTR: target reached in 31 days

Lyra published PLTR at $156.71 on 2025-09-01 for a short-term window through 2025-11-30. The thesis expected 20% growth to $188.05. It pointed to a sharp recent drop, continued investor interest in artificial intelligence names, smaller position sizing because of big swings, and a possible rebound if demand steadied.

The price reached the target in 31 days. It later peaked at $207.52 on 2025-11-03, with a 32.4% peak gain. By the end of the window it was $168.45. The thesis played out. It got there, then finished below the peak but still above the publication price.

What happened during the window

On 2025-09-18, the UK Ministry of Defence announced a strategic partnership with Palantir tied to defence technology work. On 2025-11-03, Palantir reported third-quarter revenue of $1.18 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $0.21.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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