Track record · closed signal

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) — closed signal from July 6, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 4, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

AVGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$274.18 Published $336.03 Target $337.72 Window close $372.88 Peak
$263.09 – $277.98Entry zone — fair-value band
$274.18Published — price the day we called it
$336.03Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$372.88Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$337.72Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 61 days.

Peak price
$372.88
peak on September 11, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+36%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$337.72
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
61
Window
July 6, 2025 – October 4, 2025

The thesis — published July 6, 2025

Predicted growth
+23%
over the measurement window
Target price
$336.03
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$263.09 – $277.98
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$274.18
published July 6, 2025
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Broadcom's shares jumped 28% in May-June and now sit just under $280. Days with price gains show heavier trading, signaling steady buying interest. Last quarter sales hit a record $15 B, with AI chips up 46%. Selling VeloCloud lets the firm focus on higher-margin chips. A move above $280 usually sparks automatic buying from investment funds, aiming for $297-$300 within three months, while the recent average price near $265 offers a safety net.

Primary drivers

  • Price resting below $280 with strong buying hints it could soon climb higher.
  • Record Q2 sales and AI revenue up 46% show demand is strong despite tariffs.
  • Market excitement is high even as basics lag, and big trading volume backs it up.
  • Tariff news on July 9 might drop price to $265, giving a cheaper entry point.

How it played out

AVGO: target reached in 61 days

Lyra published AVGO at $274.18 on 2025-07-06 with expected growth of 23%. The target was $336.03. The thesis pointed to buying interest below $280, record Q2 sales of $15 B, artificial intelligence chip revenue up 46%, the VeloCloud sale, and a possible move toward $297-$300 within three months.

Inside the window, AVGO reached a peak of $372.88 on 2025-09-11. That was a 36% peak gain, and the target was reached in 61 days. The stock ended the window at $337.72, still above the target. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-09-04, Broadcom reported fiscal third-quarter revenue of $15.95 billion and adjusted earnings of $1.69 per share. On 2025-09-05, Investor's Business Daily reported that Broadcom had announced orders from a fourth custom artificial intelligence processor customer.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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