Track record · closed signal

PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) — closed signal from September 1, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 30, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

PEP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$140.91 – $143.79Entry zone — fair-value band

$145.78Published — price the day we called it

$157.27Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$154.76Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$147.30Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 62% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$154.76

peak on September 2, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+6.2%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$147.30

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

September 1, 2025 – November 30, 2025

The thesis — published September 1, 2025

Predicted growth

+10%

over the measurement window

Target price

$157.27

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$140.91 – $143.79

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$145.78

published September 1, 2025

Confidence

62%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

PepsiCo looks like a steady stock that may bounce after a recent slide. The company just put more money into Celsius, giving it more ways to grow in energy drinks, and its dividend keeps drawing income-seeking investors. Even if recent price momentum has been weak and the stock is not cheap, strong brands and the Celsius angle can help over the next few months. Consider buying within this range for a 3-month snapback.

Primary drivers

Shares look beaten down, which often leads to a short-term rebound
Bigger investment in Celsius adds growth potential in energy drinks
Reliable dividend attracts income-focused buyers in choppy markets
Well-known brands help earnings hold up when markets get shaky

How it played out

PEP: target was not reached after a 6.2% peak

Lyra published PEP at 145.78 on 2025-09-01 with a short-term 10% expected gain and a 157.27 target. The thesis pointed to a possible rebound after a recent slide, a bigger Celsius investment, the dividend, and well-known brands that could help earnings hold up.

Inside the window, PEP peaked at 154.76 on 2025-09-02, with a 6.2% gain. It never reached 157.27. By 2025-11-30, it ended at 147.3. The thesis partly played out: the stock rose early and stayed positive by the end, but it missed the target.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-09, PepsiCo reported third-quarter results. AP reported that revenue rose 2.6% to 23.94 billion, while North American food business revenue fell 3%. MarketWatch reported the same day that PepsiCo named Steve Schmitt as the next CFO after Jamie Caulfield's planned November retirement.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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